Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 60.582895 68.889152 77.406943 86.760638 96.710858 106.949006 118.249365
2025-12-07 48.649505 60.601976 73.436335 88.102019 104.265338 121.417871 140.882260
2025-12-14 40.232478 53.961503 69.244327 87.227140 107.543514 129.553327 154.979447
2025-12-21 33.207385 47.940354 64.921174 85.446539 109.146990 135.278580 165.915495
2025-12-28 30.343658 46.387393 65.372335 88.772157 116.208558 146.825000 183.076222
2026-01-04 27.214837 44.133557 64.691434 90.514131 121.232267 155.893761 197.304665
2026-01-11 23.500767 40.751886 62.337193 90.002718 123.409972 161.533436 207.490918
2026-01-18 20.322500 37.747301 60.196680 89.531608 125.453711 166.872240 217.207023
2026-01-25 17.955614 35.605097 58.967883 90.027951 128.528511 173.313345 228.111308
2026-02-01 15.429774 32.977513 56.916485 89.337766 130.041559 177.821381 236.690611
2026-02-08 13.423797 30.899890 55.441552 89.253776 132.195882 183.011727 246.003823
2026-02-15 11.362554 28.503986 53.370649 88.270794 133.136602 186.675652 253.459245
2026-02-22 10.167670 27.389562 53.032848 89.542371 136.911235 193.792027 265.072332
2026-03-01 9.156156 26.469832 52.905680 91.050816 140.961637 201.235858 277.082875
2026-03-08 7.626179 24.441960 51.043528 90.132983 141.858423 204.791981 284.415138
2026-03-15 6.083648 22.137790 48.614528 88.324472 141.523341 206.772986 289.804813
2026-03-22 5.839031 22.330666 49.960348 91.710400 147.890717 216.994537 305.110182
2026-03-29 5.283705 21.812948 50.167135 93.484226 152.148758 224.605933 317.267477
2026-04-05 4.352827 20.338007 48.784121 92.963509 153.366183 228.420534 324.810966
2026-04-12 3.546324 18.968257 47.476567 92.483845 154.589838 232.209057 332.297574
2026-04-19 2.990034 18.074104 46.884695 92.989205 157.088202 237.571640 341.688682
2026-04-26 2.339957 16.758938 45.501915 92.286473 157.934624 240.831643 348.490300
2026-05-03 1.856885 15.750896 44.572434 92.200954 159.575349 245.070092 356.475056